The World Food Programme estimates the number could rise from about 225 million to 274 million by the end of 2027.
El Niño could intensify food insecurity in several regions, bringing drought to some areas and heavy rainfall and flooding to others. The effects can extend beyond harvest losses to access to water and food.
The UN World Food Programme estimates that the number of people facing acute food insecurity in 45 vulnerable countries could rise from about 225 million to 274 million by the end of 2027. This is a projection, not a count of people already affected. WFP links the potential increase to weather shocks whose consequences for agriculture may persist after current climate anomalies ease.
Kommersant also reported on an AI model developed by researchers from a company and the Higher School of Economics. According to the outlet, the system can forecast El Niño-related floods almost two years ahead, allowing more time for preventive measures. The available report does not identify the company or describe how the forecast was validated.
Early funding and preparedness matter before extreme weather arrives. WFP says it has already activated anticipatory measures in several countries. Risks vary by region, and El Niño can increase the chances of both drought and unusually heavy rainfall in different parts of the world.