Recent reports indicate that Lee’s approval rating has slipped sharply, with the share of respondents expressing disapproval now exceeding those who approve of his leadership.
The dip in popularity is linked to growing dissatisfaction over domestic policy, especially the government’s handling of the housing market, which has become a focal point of public frustration.
Adding an international dimension to his challenges, former President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Lee, a development that observers say could limit the South Korean leader’s political maneuverability.
Despite the external pressure, Lee is concentrating on advancing his policy agenda in an attempt to stabilise his administration and win back voter confidence.
Market analysts note that the latest pricing in arrest‑prediction markets reflects a moderate decrease in the likelihood of a "yes" outcome, suggesting that Lee’s focus on policy recovery may be lowering perceived arrest risk.
The combination of domestic discontent and Trump’s remarks is expected to shape future political calculations, with any measurable rebound in Lee’s support potentially further reducing market expectations of his arrest.
Stakeholders will be watching closely how Lee’s policy measures address housing concerns and whether they can translate into a tangible improvement in public sentiment.